Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.029391 0.031619 0.033852 0.036255 0.038765 0.041305 0.044068
2025-11-09 0.025091 0.028583 0.032208 0.036235 0.040572 0.045087 0.050131
2025-11-16 0.022407 0.026622 0.031106 0.036202 0.041805 0.047747 0.054500
2025-11-23 0.020241 0.024954 0.030079 0.036015 0.042653 0.049801 0.058036
2025-11-30 0.018529 0.023626 0.029277 0.035933 0.043488 0.051728 0.061330
2025-12-07 0.016786 0.022128 0.028166 0.035392 0.043708 0.052888 0.063697
2025-12-14 0.015216 0.020726 0.027069 0.034778 0.043766 0.053798 0.065724
2025-12-21 0.013706 0.019302 0.025864 0.033961 0.043522 0.054306 0.067244
2025-12-28 0.013154 0.019004 0.025963 0.034648 0.044999 0.056765 0.070973
2026-01-04 0.012360 0.018359 0.025603 0.034751 0.045763 0.058378 0.073716
2026-01-11 0.011532 0.017623 0.025093 0.034640 0.046242 0.059640 0.076035
2026-01-18 0.011154 0.017442 0.025251 0.035325 0.047663 0.061995 0.079623
2026-01-25 0.010484 0.016885 0.024958 0.035497 0.048526 0.063773 0.082642
2026-02-01 0.009758 0.016224 0.024518 0.035482 0.049167 0.065306 0.085405
2026-02-08 0.009088 0.015598 0.024089 0.035449 0.049763 0.066767 0.088069
2026-02-15 0.008411 0.014922 0.023562 0.035264 0.050148 0.067957 0.090399
2026-02-22 0.007826 0.014344 0.023136 0.035184 0.050644 0.069267 0.092863
2026-03-01 0.007121 0.013548 0.022383 0.034649 0.050545 0.069835 0.094419
2026-03-08 0.006445 0.012755 0.021599 0.034044 0.050329 0.070238 0.095760
2026-03-15 0.005757 0.011898 0.020690 0.033238 0.049829 0.070269 0.096629
2026-03-22 0.005586 0.011834 0.020889 0.033915 0.051238 0.072668 0.100396
2026-03-29 0.005250 0.011490 0.020673 0.034017 0.051892 0.074122 0.103004
2026-04-05 0.004875 0.011058 0.020312 0.033907 0.052258 0.075209 0.105155